NCAA Tournament March Madness

#215 New Orleans

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

New Orleans’ profile makes the projection sensible because its resume contains a couple of eye-catching road wins at TCU and Tulane and a competitive showing at Mississippi State that demonstrate an ability to win away, yet those high points are overwhelmed by severe losses at Houston, Texas Tech and LSU and by additional road setbacks at Pepperdine and Fresno State and a home loss to SF Austin that hollow out the nonconference résumé. The season still offers clear ways to repair the picture: a stretch of Southland games including trips to McNeese and Nicholls plus home dates such as Northwestern Louisiana and matchups with UTRGV give the team several realistic opportunities to accumulate the kind of road and neutral wins the committee respects, and absent a meaningful reversal in those games the safest route to the NCAA field will be through the conference’s automatic qualifier.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@TCU52W78-74
11/10@LSU42L93-58
11/14@Tulane190W85-63
11/18@Pepperdine267L90-79
11/21@Fresno St135L85-76
11/24@Mississippi St85L81-78
11/26@Texas Tech19L82-50
12/3@Memphis97L86-70
12/6Houston Chr300L85-76
12/8Incarnate Word237W84-83
12/13@Houston4L99-57
12/29@UTRGV199W85-69
12/31@TAM C. Christi181L83-69
1/3@Northwestern LA287L74-68
1/5East Texas A&M288W83-73
1/10Nicholls St228L90-77
1/12@SE Louisiana270W79-76
1/17SF Austin95L84-79
1/19Lamar220W89-76
1/24@McNeese St669%
1/26@Nicholls St22841%
1/31Northwestern LA28774%
2/2@East Texas A&M28854%
2/7UTRGV19958%
2/9TAM C. Christi18154%
2/14@Houston Chr30057%
2/16@Incarnate Word23742%
2/21@Lamar22039%
2/23@SF Austin9514%
2/28McNeese St6622%
3/2SE Louisiana27071%